Sport Recife vs Goias — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Sport Recife the pick at 42% for Sport Recife vs Goias. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Sport Recife host Goias on 14 November 2026 at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife. Sport Recife are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 38 fixture in Serie B is listed as Sport Recife - Goias. Kick-off is 19:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Sport Recife: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (27 scored and 23 conceded in 24 matches, 1.12 and 0.96 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.7 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of +8.
Goias: they come in on a three-match winning sequence, following one win and one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (34 scored and 31 conceded in 28 matches, 1.21 and 1.11 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.8 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Sport Recife | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 7th |
| Goal difference | +8 | -2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWLD | WWWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 7 / 1 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 4 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 24 | 28 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.12 / 0.96 | 1.21 / 1.11 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.42 | 1.61 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 43.7 | 67.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 36% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Sport Recife 43.7 versus Goias 67.8, a gap of 24.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Sport Recife's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Sport Recife at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sport Recife's way, especially at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sport Recife or Goias?
Sport Recife, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Sport Recife, 22% the draw and 36% Goias.
When and where is Sport Recife vs Goias being played?
14 November 2026 at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, Recife, kick-off 19:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sport Recife and Goias?
Goias 1-1 Sport Recife on 22 July 2026.
What is the recent form of Sport Recife and Goias?
Sport Recife have taken 5 points from their last five (LDWLD), Goias 13 from theirs (WWWDW). Most recently Sport Recife took a 2-3 defeat away at Operario-PR and Goias a 1-0 win at home to Ponte Preta.
How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Goias?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.60 for Sport Recife and 1.60 for Goias. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.