Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes a draw the pick at 48% for Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Tianjin Teda host Shenyang Urban on 12 September 2026 at Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 48%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This matchday 18 fixture in Super League is listed as Tianjin Teda - Shenyang Urban. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Tianjin Teda: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 21 conceded in 15 matches, 1.4 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of +3.
Shenyang Urban: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (21 scored and 21 conceded in 15 matches, 1.4 and 1.4 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 25.3 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Tianjin Teda | Shenyang Urban |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 13th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLL | LLDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 6 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.13 | 1.2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.4 | 25.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Tianjin Teda 42.4 versus Shenyang Urban 25.3, a gap of 17.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 93% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Tianjin Teda's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to a draw at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Tianjin Teda's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Tianjin Teda or Shenyang Urban?
Neither side. Our model splits it 35% Tianjin Teda, 48% the draw and 17% Shenyang Urban, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban being played?
12 September 2026 at Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban?
Shenyang Urban 3-0 Tianjin Teda on 21 March 2026.
What is the recent form of Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban?
Tianjin Teda have taken 5 points from their last five (WDDLL), Shenyang Urban 1 from theirs (LLDLL). Most recently Tianjin Teda took a 2-1 win at home to Hangzhou Greentown and Shenyang Urban a 0-5 defeat away at Yunnan Yukun.
How many goals are expected in Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 1.60 for Tianjin Teda and 1.75 for Shenyang Urban. It rates over 2.5 goals at 93%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.