Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Chengdu Better City the pick at 40% for Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Chengdu Better City face Dalian Zhixing on 24 October 2026 at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu. Chengdu Better City are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Chengdu Better City - Dalian Zhixing. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Chengdu Better City: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (38 scored and 22 conceded in 22 matches, 1.73 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +17.
Dalian Zhixing: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one draw before that. That is four wins, one draw and no defeats from the last five, worth 13 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 32 conceded in 21 matches, 1.57 and 1.52 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Chengdu Better City | Dalian Zhixing |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +17 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDWL | WWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 13 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 11 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.73 / 1.0 | 1.57 / 1.52 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.91 | 1.67 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.6 | 68.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Chengdu Better City 42.6 versus Dalian Zhixing 68.8, a gap of 26.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.40, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Chengdu Better City's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Chengdu Better City at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Dalian Zhixing's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chengdu Better City's way, especially at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chengdu Better City or Dalian Zhixing?
Chengdu Better City, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Chengdu Better City, 25% the draw and 34% Dalian Zhixing.
When and where is Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing being played?
24 October 2026 at Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park, Chengdu, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing?
Dalian Zhixing 2-0 Chengdu Better City on 23 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Chengdu Better City and Dalian Zhixing?
Chengdu Better City have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDWL), Dalian Zhixing 13 from theirs (WWWWD). Most recently Chengdu Better City took a 0-3 defeat away at SHANGHAI SIPG and Dalian Zhixing a 3-1 win at home to Sichuan Jiuniu.
How many goals are expected in Chengdu Better City vs Dalian Zhixing?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.40 — 0.60 for Chengdu Better City and 1.80 for Dalian Zhixing. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.