Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Chongqing Tongliang Long the pick at 56% for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Chongqing Tongliang Long face Qingdao Jonoon on 24 October 2026 at Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing. Chongqing Tongliang Long are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Chongqing Tongliang Long - Qingdao Jonoon. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Chongqing Tongliang Long: they come in on two successive draws, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (25 scored and 27 conceded in 20 matches, 1.25 and 1.35 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -5.
Qingdao Jonoon: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (26 scored and 42 conceded in 21 matches, 1.24 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 18.5 out of 100, and they sit 16th on a goal difference of -26.
Side by side
| Statistic | Chongqing Tongliang Long | Qingdao Jonoon |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th | 16th |
| Goal difference | -5 | -26 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLD | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 7 | 3 / 16 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.25 / 1.35 | 1.24 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.3 | 0.81 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.8 | 18.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 19% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Chongqing Tongliang Long 33.8 versus Qingdao Jonoon 18.5, a gap of 15.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.40, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Chongqing Tongliang Long's way at 63%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Chongqing Tongliang Long at 56%, a gap of 31 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Chongqing Tongliang Long's way, especially at Tongliang Long Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Chongqing Tongliang Long or Qingdao Jonoon?
Chongqing Tongliang Long, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Chongqing Tongliang Long, 25% the draw and 19% Qingdao Jonoon.
When and where is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon being played?
24 October 2026 at Tongliang Long Stadium, Chongqing, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon?
Qingdao Jonoon 0-1 Chongqing Tongliang Long on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Chongqing Tongliang Long and Qingdao Jonoon?
Chongqing Tongliang Long have taken 3 points from their last five (DDLLD), Qingdao Jonoon 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Chongqing Tongliang Long took a 1-1 draw away at Yunnan Yukun and Qingdao Jonoon a 0-4 defeat at home to Shenyang Urban.
How many goals are expected in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.40 — 1.00 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 0.40 for Qingdao Jonoon. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.