Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown match summary and prediction — Super League
Our model makes Shenyang Urban the pick at 52% for Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Shenyang Urban face Hangzhou Greentown on 24 October 2026 at Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang. Shenyang Urban are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Shenyang Urban - Hangzhou Greentown. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Shenyang Urban: they come in on the back of a win, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 29 conceded in 20 matches, 1.4 and 1.45 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -9.
Hangzhou Greentown: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 37 conceded in 21 matches, 1.38 and 1.76 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 43.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Shenyang Urban | Hangzhou Greentown |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -9 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDLLL | LLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 9 | 13 / 12 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.4 / 1.45 | 1.38 / 1.76 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.1 | 43.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 52% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Shenyang Urban 36.1 versus Hangzhou Greentown 43.8, a gap of 7.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.60, over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Shenyang Urban's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Shenyang Urban at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Shenyang Urban's way, especially at Olympic Sports Centre Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Shenyang Urban or Hangzhou Greentown?
Shenyang Urban, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 52% Shenyang Urban, 22% the draw and 26% Hangzhou Greentown.
When and where is Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown being played?
24 October 2026 at Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown?
Hangzhou Greentown 0-5 Shenyang Urban on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Shenyang Urban and Hangzhou Greentown?
Shenyang Urban have taken 4 points from their last five (WDLLL), Hangzhou Greentown 6 from theirs (LLWLW). Most recently Shenyang Urban took a 4-0 win away at Qingdao Jonoon and Hangzhou Greentown a 0-5 defeat away at Shandong Luneng.
How many goals are expected in Shenyang Urban vs Hangzhou Greentown?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.60 — 1.40 for Shenyang Urban and 1.20 for Hangzhou Greentown. It rates over 2.5 goals at 61%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.