Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun match summary and prediction — Super League
Our model makes Yunnan Yukun the pick at 43% for Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Yunnan Yukun travel to Qingdao Youth Island on 24 October 2026 at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao. Yunnan Yukun are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Qingdao Youth Island - Yunnan Yukun. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Qingdao Youth Island: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two draws before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 30 conceded in 21 matches, 1.05 and 1.43 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of -6.
Yunnan Yukun: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (44 scored and 34 conceded in 22 matches, 2.0 and 1.55 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -3.
Side by side
| Statistic | Qingdao Youth Island | Yunnan Yukun |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 6th |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDDW | DLWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 8 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 21 | 22 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.05 / 1.43 | 2.0 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.2 | 40.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 43% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Yunnan Yukun's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Yunnan Yukun at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Yunnan Yukun's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Qingdao Youth Island or Yunnan Yukun?
Yunnan Yukun, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 28% Qingdao Youth Island, 29% the draw and 43% Yunnan Yukun.
When and where is Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun being played?
24 October 2026 at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Qingdao, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun?
Yunnan Yukun 2-3 Qingdao Youth Island on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun?
Qingdao Youth Island have taken 5 points from their last five (LLDDW), Yunnan Yukun 7 from theirs (DLWWL). Most recently Qingdao Youth Island took a 0-1 defeat away at Beijing Guoan and Yunnan Yukun a 1-1 draw at home to Chongqing Tongliang Long.
How many goals are expected in Qingdao Youth Island vs Yunnan Yukun?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.00 for Qingdao Youth Island and 2.60 for Yunnan Yukun. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.