Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Sichuan Jiuniu the pick at 41% for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Sichuan Jiuniu host Shanghai Shenhua on 24 October 2026 at Shenzhen Stadium, Shenzhen. Sichuan Jiuniu are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 41%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Sichuan Jiuniu - Shanghai Shenhua. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Sichuan Jiuniu: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (30 scored and 39 conceded in 22 matches, 1.36 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.8 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -13.
Shanghai Shenhua: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (37 scored and 31 conceded in 20 matches, 1.85 and 1.55 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 68.5 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of +14.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Sichuan Jiuniu | Shanghai Shenhua |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 12th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -13 | +14 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDDLD | WDWDW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 12 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.36 / 1.77 | 1.85 / 1.55 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.09 | 1.6 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.8 | 68.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 41% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Sichuan Jiuniu 31.8 versus Shanghai Shenhua 68.5, a gap of 36.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Sichuan Jiuniu's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Sichuan Jiuniu at 41%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Shanghai Shenhua's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Sichuan Jiuniu's way, especially at Shenzhen Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Sichuan Jiuniu or Shanghai Shenhua?
Sichuan Jiuniu, with an implied win probability of roughly 41%. The full split is 41% Sichuan Jiuniu, 26% the draw and 34% Shanghai Shenhua.
When and where is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua being played?
24 October 2026 at Shenzhen Stadium, Shenzhen, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 Sichuan Jiuniu on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Sichuan Jiuniu and Shanghai Shenhua?
Sichuan Jiuniu have taken 3 points from their last five (LDDLD), Shanghai Shenhua 11 from theirs (WDWDW). Most recently Sichuan Jiuniu took a 1-3 defeat away at Dalian Zhixing and Shanghai Shenhua a 3-1 win away at Wuhan Three Towns.
How many goals are expected in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.40 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 1.60 for Shanghai Shenhua. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.