Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Wuhan Three Towns the pick at 48% for Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Wuhan Three Towns host Shandong Luneng on 24 October 2026 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan. Wuhan Three Towns are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 29 fixture in Super League is listed as Wuhan Three Towns - Shandong Luneng. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Wuhan Three Towns: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 37 conceded in 20 matches, 1.45 and 1.85 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -9.
Shandong Luneng: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 32 conceded in 20 matches, 1.65 and 1.6 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 53.7 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Wuhan Three Towns | Shandong Luneng |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -9 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLDD | WDDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 10 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 20 | 20 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.45 / 1.85 | 1.65 / 1.6 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.95 | 1.55 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 32.8 | 53.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 30% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Wuhan Three Towns 32.8 versus Shandong Luneng 53.7, a gap of 20.9, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.40, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 61%.
- First goal: Leans Wuhan Three Towns' way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Wuhan Three Towns at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Shandong Luneng's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Wuhan Three Towns's way, especially at Wuhan Sports Centre.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Wuhan Three Towns or Shandong Luneng?
Wuhan Three Towns, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Wuhan Three Towns, 21% the draw and 30% Shandong Luneng.
When and where is Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng being played?
24 October 2026 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Wuhan, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
Shandong Luneng 3-3 Wuhan Three Towns on 24 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
Wuhan Three Towns have taken 3 points from their last five (LDLDD), Shandong Luneng 8 from theirs (WDDLW). Most recently Wuhan Three Towns took a 1-3 defeat at home to Shanghai Shenhua and Shandong Luneng a 5-0 win at home to Hangzhou Greentown.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.40 — 1.40 for Wuhan Three Towns and 2.00 for Shandong Luneng. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 61%, so its call is yes.