Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns match summary and prediction — Super League
Our model makes Yunnan Yukun the pick at 59% for Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Yunnan Yukun face Wuhan Three Towns on 8 November 2026 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi. Yunnan Yukun are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This matchday 30 fixture in Super League is listed as Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Yunnan Yukun: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (45 scored and 35 conceded in 23 matches, 1.96 and 1.52 per game) points to strong attacking output with occasional defensive lapses. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.9 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of -3.
Wuhan Three Towns: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following two draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (32 scored and 42 conceded in 21 matches, 1.52 and 2.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.9 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Yunnan Yukun | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 15th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDDLW | LLDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 12 | 7 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 23 | 21 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.96 / 1.52 | 1.52 / 2.0 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.57 | 0.9 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.9 | 28.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Yunnan Yukun 40.9 versus Wuhan Three Towns 28.9, a gap of 12.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Yunnan Yukun's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Yunnan Yukun at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. Yunnan Yukun's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Yunnan Yukun's way, especially at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Yunnan Yukun or Wuhan Three Towns?
Yunnan Yukun, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Yunnan Yukun, 24% the draw and 17% Wuhan Three Towns.
When and where is Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns being played?
8 November 2026 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Yunnan Yukun and Wuhan Three Towns?
Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Yunnan Yukun on 31 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Yunnan Yukun and Wuhan Three Towns?
Yunnan Yukun have taken 8 points from their last five (WDDLW), Wuhan Three Towns 2 from theirs (LLDLD). Most recently Yunnan Yukun took a 4-3 win at home to Dalian Zhixing and Wuhan Three Towns a 3-5 defeat at home to Shandong Luneng.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 2.00 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.60 for Wuhan Three Towns. It rates over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.