Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Henan Jianye the pick at 42% for Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Hangzhou Greentown host Henan Jianye on 8 November 2026 at Huizhou Olympic Stadium, Huizhou. Henan Jianye are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 30 fixture in Super League is listed as Hangzhou Greentown - Henan Jianye. Kick-off is 07:30 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Hangzhou Greentown: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (33 scored and 39 conceded in 22 matches, 1.5 and 1.77 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.2 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -3.
Henan Jianye: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following three draws before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (29 scored and 28 conceded in 23 matches, 1.26 and 1.22 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.0 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Hangzhou Greentown | Henan Jianye |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWL | LLDDD |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 14 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 22 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.5 / 1.77 | 1.26 / 1.22 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.2 | 34.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 34% | 42% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Hangzhou Greentown 44.2 versus Henan Jianye 34.0, a gap of 10.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.80, over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 62%.
- First goal: Leans Hangzhou Greentown's way at 49%.
The call
The model edges towards Henan Jianye at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Hangzhou Greentown's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Hangzhou Greentown or Henan Jianye?
Henan Jianye, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 34% Hangzhou Greentown, 24% the draw and 42% Henan Jianye.
When and where is Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye being played?
8 November 2026 at Huizhou Olympic Stadium, Huizhou, kick-off 07:30 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye?
Henan Jianye 0-2 Hangzhou Greentown on 30 May 2026.
What is the recent form of Hangzhou Greentown and Henan Jianye?
Hangzhou Greentown have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLWL), Henan Jianye 3 from theirs (LLDDD). Most recently Hangzhou Greentown took a 4-2 win away at Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye a 3-4 defeat at home to Beijing Guoan.
How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Greentown vs Henan Jianye?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.80 — 1.80 for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.00 for Henan Jianye. It rates over 2.5 goals at 63%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 62%, so its call is yes.