Bate Borisov vs Belshina: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Bate Borisov the pick at 46% for Bate Borisov vs Belshina. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bate Borisov host Belshina on 24 October 2026 at Borisov Arena, Borisov. Bate Borisov are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 46%. This matchday 26 fixture in Premier League is listed as Bate Borisov - Belshina. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bate Borisov: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 23 conceded in 16 matches, 0.56 and 1.44 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.1 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -13.
Belshina: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (16 scored and 27 conceded in 15 matches, 1.07 and 1.8 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.9 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -19.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bate Borisov | Belshina |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 13th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -13 | -19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWLL | LLLWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 8 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 16 | 15 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.56 / 1.44 | 1.07 / 1.8 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.5 | 0.87 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.1 | 36.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 46% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bate Borisov 35.1 versus Belshina 36.9, a gap of 1.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams to score at 42%.
- First goal: Leans Bate Borisov's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Bate Borisov at 46%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bate Borisov's way, especially at Borisov Arena.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bate Borisov or Belshina?
Bate Borisov, with an implied win probability of roughly 46%. The full split is 46% Bate Borisov, 26% the draw and 28% Belshina.
When and where is Bate Borisov vs Belshina being played?
24 October 2026 at Borisov Arena, Borisov, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between Bate Borisov and Belshina?
Belshina 1-1 Bate Borisov on 12 June 2026.
What is the recent form of Bate Borisov and Belshina?
Bate Borisov have taken 3 points from their last five (LLWLL), Belshina 4 from theirs (LLLWD). Most recently Bate Borisov took a 1-2 defeat away at FC Dnepr Mogilev and Belshina a 2-4 defeat at home to Slavia Mozyr.
How many goals are expected in Bate Borisov vs Belshina?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Bate Borisov and 1.00 for Belshina. It rates over 2.5 goals at 37%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 42%, so its call is no.