Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Bate Borisov the pick at 39% for Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Bate Borisov face Torpedo Zhodino on 7 November 2026 at Borisov Arena, Barysaw. Bate Borisov are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 28 fixture in Premier League is listed as Bate Borisov - Torpedo Zhodino. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Bate Borisov: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 25 conceded in 18 matches, 0.5 and 1.39 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -15.
Torpedo Zhodino: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (23 scored and 16 conceded in 14 matches, 1.64 and 1.14 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.0 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of 0.
Side by side
| Statistic | Bate Borisov | Torpedo Zhodino |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -15 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | WLWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 7 | 7 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 18 | 14 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 0.5 / 1.39 | 1.64 / 1.14 |
| Points per game (2026) | 0.44 | 1.36 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.2 | 55.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 34% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Bate Borisov 31.2 versus Torpedo Zhodino 55.0, a gap of 23.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Bate Borisov's way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Bate Borisov at 39%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Torpedo Zhodino's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Bate Borisov's way, especially at Borisov Arena.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bate Borisov or Torpedo Zhodino?
Bate Borisov, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 39% Bate Borisov, 27% the draw and 34% Torpedo Zhodino.
When and where is Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino being played?
7 November 2026 at Borisov Arena, Barysaw, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Bate Borisov and Torpedo Zhodino met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bate Borisov and Torpedo Zhodino?
Bate Borisov have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Torpedo Zhodino 9 from theirs (WLWLW). Most recently Bate Borisov took a 0-1 defeat away at Arsenal and Torpedo Zhodino a 3-0 win at home to Belshina.
How many goals are expected in Bate Borisov vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 0.60 for Bate Borisov and 1.20 for Torpedo Zhodino. It rates over 2.5 goals at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.