FC Gomel vs Arsenal: match summary, form and prediction
Arsenal travel to FC Gomel needing a result to steady a season that has drifted — 12th and still looking for rhythm. Form, comparison data and the model's read, below.
Match summary
Arsenal travel to FC Gomel on 7 November 2026 at Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel. Arsenal are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 65%. This matchday 28 fixture in Premier League is listed as FC Gomel - Arsenal. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
FC Gomel: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (19 scored and 18 conceded in 15 matches, 1.27 and 1.2 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.6 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +9.
Arsenal: they come in on the back of a win, following two draws and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (28 scored and 24 conceded in 23 matches, 1.22 and 1.04 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.6 out of 100, and they sit 12th on a goal difference of -19. For a club of Arsenal's standing, that is a season off track rather than a slow start.
Comparison data
| Statistic | FC Gomel | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th | 12th |
| Goal difference | +9 | -19 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLW | WDLLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 11 | 1 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 23 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.27 / 1.2 | 1.22 / 1.04 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.27 | 1.65 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.6 | 33.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 12% | 65% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FC Gomel 40.6 versus Arsenal 33.6, a gap of 7.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Big club, bad season: Arsenal are 12th with a goal difference of -19 and no settled run of results — well short of where a club of their standing expects to be.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Arsenal's way at 66%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Arsenal at 65%, a gap of 43 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FC Gomel or Arsenal?
Arsenal, with an implied win probability of roughly 65%. The full split is 12% FC Gomel, 22% the draw and 65% Arsenal.
When and where is FC Gomel vs Arsenal being played?
7 November 2026 at Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have FC Gomel and Arsenal met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FC Gomel and Arsenal?
FC Gomel have taken 4 points from their last five (LLDLW), Arsenal 5 from theirs (WDLLD). Most recently FC Gomel took a 1-2 defeat away at FC Dnepr Mogilev and Arsenal a 1-0 win at home to Bate Borisov.
How many goals are expected in FC Gomel vs Arsenal?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for FC Gomel and 1.00 for Arsenal. It rates over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.