Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Neman the pick at 49% for Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
FC Dnepr Mogilev travel to Neman on 7 November 2026 at Stadion Neman, Grodno. Neman are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 28 fixture in Premier League is listed as Neman - FC Dnepr Mogilev. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Neman: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (17 scored and 16 conceded in 17 matches, 1.0 and 0.94 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +8.
FC Dnepr Mogilev: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (18 scored and 27 conceded in 17 matches, 1.06 and 1.59 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -15.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Neman | FC Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th | 14th |
| Goal difference | +8 | -15 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLWW | WDWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 8 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.0 / 0.94 | 1.06 / 1.59 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.47 | 1.0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.0 | 44.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 21% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Neman 57.0 versus FC Dnepr Mogilev 44.6, a gap of 12.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.20, over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Neman's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Neman at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Neman's way, especially at Stadion Neman.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Neman or FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Neman, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Neman, 29% the draw and 21% FC Dnepr Mogilev.
When and where is Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion Neman, Grodno, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Neman and FC Dnepr Mogilev met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Neman and FC Dnepr Mogilev?
Neman have taken 9 points from their last five (WLLWW), FC Dnepr Mogilev 7 from theirs (WDWLL). Most recently Neman took a 1-0 win away at Dinamo Minsk and FC Dnepr Mogilev a 2-1 win at home to FC Gomel.
How many goals are expected in Neman vs FC Dnepr Mogilev?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.20 — 1.00 for Neman and 1.20 for FC Dnepr Mogilev. It rates over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.