Slavia Mozyr vs Baranovichi match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Slavia Mozyr the pick at 45% for Slavia Mozyr vs Baranovichi. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Slavia Mozyr face Baranovichi on 7 November 2026 at Stadion Junost, Mozyr. Slavia Mozyr are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This matchday 28 fixture in Premier League is listed as Slavia Mozyr - Baranovichi. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Slavia Mozyr: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 16 conceded in 15 matches, 1.33 and 1.07 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 44.0 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -4.
Baranovichi: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (22 scored and 21 conceded in 13 matches, 1.69 and 1.62 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -13.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Slavia Mozyr | Baranovichi |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -4 | -13 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWWLL | WWLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 11 / 12 | 6 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2026 season) | 15 | 13 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2026) | 1.33 / 1.07 | 1.69 / 1.62 |
| Points per game (2026) | 1.47 | 1.38 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 44.0 | 41.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 45% | 27% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Slavia Mozyr 44.0 versus Baranovichi 41.8, a gap of 2.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Slavia Mozyr's way at 47%.
The call
The model edges towards Slavia Mozyr at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Slavia Mozyr's way, especially at Stadion Junost.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Slavia Mozyr or Baranovichi?
Slavia Mozyr, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 45% Slavia Mozyr, 28% the draw and 27% Baranovichi.
When and where is Slavia Mozyr vs Baranovichi being played?
7 November 2026 at Stadion Junost, Mozyr, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Slavia Mozyr and Baranovichi met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Slavia Mozyr and Baranovichi?
Slavia Mozyr have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), Baranovichi 6 from theirs (WWLLL). Most recently Slavia Mozyr took a 1-3 defeat away at FC Isloch Minsk R. and Baranovichi a 3-0 win at home to Naftan.
How many goals are expected in Slavia Mozyr vs Baranovichi?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 2.20 for Slavia Mozyr and 1.60 for Baranovichi. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.