Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Kyzyl-Zhar the pick at 47% for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Ulytau travel to Kyzyl-Zhar on 24 October 2026 at Karasai Stadium, Petropavl. Kyzyl-Zhar are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This matchday 29 fixture in Premier League is listed as Kyzyl-Zhar - Ulytau. Kick-off is 11:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Kyzyl-Zhar: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.8 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -10.
Ulytau: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.6 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -7.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kyzyl-Zhar | Ulytau |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th | 8th |
| Goal difference | -10 | -7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWDLL | LWDLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 35.8 | 36.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.00, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Kyzyl-Zhar's way at 54%.
The call
The model tilts to Kyzyl-Zhar at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kyzyl-Zhar's way, especially at Karasai Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kyzyl-Zhar or Ulytau?
Kyzyl-Zhar, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Kyzyl-Zhar, 25% the draw and 28% Ulytau.
When and where is Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau being played?
24 October 2026 at Karasai Stadium, Petropavl, kick-off 11:00 UTC.
Have Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kyzyl-Zhar and Ulytau?
Kyzyl-Zhar have taken 4 points from their last five (LWDLL), Ulytau 4 from theirs (LWDLL). Most recently Kyzyl-Zhar took a 0-1 defeat away at Okzhetpes and Ulytau a 1-2 defeat away at Yelimay Semey.
How many goals are expected in Kyzyl-Zhar vs Ulytau?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.00 — 0.00 for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Ulytau. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.