Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Okzhetpes the pick at 43% for Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Okzhetpes host Kaspiy on 24 October 2026 at Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau. Okzhetpes are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This matchday 29 fixture in Premier League is listed as Okzhetpes - Kaspiy. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Okzhetpes: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 56.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +5.
Kaspiy: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 46.3 out of 100, and they sit 9th on a goal difference of -8.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Okzhetpes | Kaspiy |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 9th |
| Goal difference | +5 | -8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWLW | DWWLL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 6 | 6 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 56.2 | 46.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 26% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Okzhetpes 56.2 versus Kaspiy 46.3, a gap of 9.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Okzhetpes' way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Okzhetpes at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Okzhetpes's way, especially at Okzhetpes Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Okzhetpes or Kaspiy?
Okzhetpes, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Okzhetpes, 30% the draw and 26% Kaspiy.
When and where is Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy being played?
24 October 2026 at Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Okzhetpes and Kaspiy met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Okzhetpes and Kaspiy?
Okzhetpes have taken 9 points from their last five (WLWLW), Kaspiy 7 from theirs (DWWLL). Most recently Okzhetpes took a 1-0 win at home to Kyzyl-Zhar and Kaspiy a 2-2 draw away at FC Astana.
How many goals are expected in Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.00 for Okzhetpes and 2.00 for Kaspiy. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.