Ordabasy vs Zhenys — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Ordabasy the pick at 42% for Ordabasy vs Zhenys. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zhenys travel to Ordabasy on 24 October 2026 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Ordabasy are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 29 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ordabasy - Zhenys. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ordabasy: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 73.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +35.
Zhenys: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored seven and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 32.8 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -9.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ordabasy | Zhenys |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 10th |
| Goal difference | +35 | -9 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWWWL | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 12 / 4 | 7 / 13 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 73.8 | 32.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 32% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Ordabasy 73.8 versus Zhenys 32.8, a gap of 41.0, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Nine places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.35, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Ordabasy's way at 53%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Ordabasy at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Ordabasy's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ordabasy's way, especially at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ordabasy or Zhenys?
Ordabasy, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Ordabasy, 26% the draw and 32% Zhenys.
When and where is Ordabasy vs Zhenys being played?
24 October 2026 at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have Ordabasy and Zhenys met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ordabasy and Zhenys?
Ordabasy have taken 12 points from their last five (WWWWL), Zhenys 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Ordabasy took a 3-1 win away at Aktobe and Zhenys a 2-4 defeat away at FK Tobol Kostanay.
How many goals are expected in Ordabasy vs Zhenys?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.35 — 1.35 for Ordabasy and 2.00 for Zhenys. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.