Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Zhetysu the pick at 50% for Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
FK Tobol Kostanay travel to Zhetysu on 24 October 2026. Zhetysu are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 50%. This matchday 29 fixture in Premier League is listed as Zhetysu - FK Tobol Kostanay. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Zhetysu: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.5 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -18.
FK Tobol Kostanay: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded seven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 65.2 out of 100, and they sit 7th on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Zhetysu | FK Tobol Kostanay |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th | 7th |
| Goal difference | -18 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLLLW | WWLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 5 | 13 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.5 | 65.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 50% | 28% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Zhetysu 40.5 versus FK Tobol Kostanay 65.2, a gap of 24.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.67, over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
- First goal: Leans Zhetysu's way at 55%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Zhetysu at 50%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zhetysu or FK Tobol Kostanay?
Zhetysu, with an implied win probability of roughly 50%. The full split is 50% Zhetysu, 22% the draw and 28% FK Tobol Kostanay.
When and where is Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay being played?
24 October 2026, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Zhetysu and FK Tobol Kostanay met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Zhetysu and FK Tobol Kostanay?
Zhetysu have taken 6 points from their last five (WLLLW), FK Tobol Kostanay 12 from theirs (WWLWW). Most recently Zhetysu took a 2-1 win at home to Kaisar and FK Tobol Kostanay a 4-2 win at home to Zhenys.
How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.67 — 2.00 for Zhetysu and 1.67 for FK Tobol Kostanay. It rates over 2.5 goals at 59%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 59%, so its call is yes.