Kairat Almaty vs Altay match summary and prediction — Premier League
Our model makes Kairat Almaty the pick at 42% for Kairat Almaty vs Altay. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kairat Almaty face Altay on 31 October 2026 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty. Kairat Almaty are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 30 fixture in Premier League is listed as Kairat Almaty - Altay. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kairat Almaty: they come in on the back of a draw, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. Across those five they scored ten and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +37.
Altay: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored eight and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.9 out of 100, and they sit 13th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kairat Almaty | Altay |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 13th |
| Goal difference | +37 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLWDW | DDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 10 / 8 | 8 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 57.6 | 38.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 31% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kairat Almaty 57.6 versus Altay 38.9, a gap of 18.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Table gap: Eleven places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.50, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Kairat Almaty's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Kairat Almaty at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Kairat Almaty's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kairat Almaty's way, especially at Almaty Central Stadium.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kairat Almaty or Altay?
Kairat Almaty, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Kairat Almaty, 28% the draw and 31% Altay.
When and where is Kairat Almaty vs Altay being played?
31 October 2026 at Almaty Central Stadium, Almaty, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Kairat Almaty and Altay met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kairat Almaty and Altay?
Kairat Almaty have taken 8 points from their last five (DLWDW), Altay 5 from theirs (DDLLW). Most recently Kairat Almaty took a 2-2 draw away at Aktobe and Altay a 2-2 draw at home to Yelimay Semey.
How many goals are expected in Kairat Almaty vs Altay?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.50 — 2.00 for Kairat Almaty and 1.50 for Altay. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.