Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Kaspiy the pick at 48% for Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Kaspiy face Kyzyl-Zhar on 31 October 2026 at Zhestar Stadium, Aktau. Kaspiy are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This matchday 30 fixture in Premier League is listed as Kaspiy - Kyzyl-Zhar. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kaspiy: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins, one draw and one defeat before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.6 out of 100, and they sit 10th on a goal difference of -11.
Kyzyl-Zhar: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.3 out of 100, and they sit 11th on a goal difference of -12.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kaspiy | Kyzyl-Zhar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th | 11th |
| Goal difference | -11 | -12 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDWWL | WLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 8 | 5 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 45.6 | 45.3 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 48% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.50, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Kaspiy's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Kaspiy at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Kaspiy's way, especially at Zhestar Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kaspiy or Kyzyl-Zhar?
Kaspiy, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 48% Kaspiy, 24% the draw and 28% Kyzyl-Zhar.
When and where is Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar being played?
31 October 2026 at Zhestar Stadium, Aktau, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Kaspiy and Kyzyl-Zhar met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kaspiy and Kyzyl-Zhar?
Kaspiy have taken 7 points from their last five (LDWWL), Kyzyl-Zhar 7 from theirs (WLWDL). Most recently Kaspiy took a 0-3 defeat away at Okzhetpes and Kyzyl-Zhar a 1-0 win at home to Ulytau.
How many goals are expected in Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.50 — 1.00 for Kaspiy and 0.50 for Kyzyl-Zhar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.