Ulytau vs Atyrau — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Ulytau the pick at 42% for Ulytau vs Atyrau. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Atyrau travel to Ulytau on 31 October 2026 at Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan. Ulytau are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 30 fixture in Premier League is listed as Ulytau - Atyrau. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Ulytau: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 36.3 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -8.
Atyrau: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 35.6 out of 100, and they sit 14th on a goal difference of -11.
Side by side
| Statistic | Ulytau | Atyrau |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 14th |
| Goal difference | -8 | -11 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLWDL | LDLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 8 | 6 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 36.3 | 35.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Ulytau's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Ulytau at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Ulytau's way, especially at Stadion Metallurg.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Ulytau or Atyrau?
Ulytau, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Ulytau, 28% the draw and 30% Atyrau.
When and where is Ulytau vs Atyrau being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Ulytau and Atyrau met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Ulytau and Atyrau?
Ulytau have taken 4 points from their last five (LLWDL), Atyrau 4 from theirs (LDLWL). Most recently Ulytau took a 0-1 defeat away at Kyzyl-Zhar and Atyrau a 2-3 defeat at home to Irtysh.
How many goals are expected in Ulytau vs Atyrau?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 0.50 for Ulytau and 1.50 for Atyrau. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.