Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Yelimay Semey the pick at 49% for Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Yelimay Semey face Okzhetpes on 31 October 2026 at Stadion Spartak, Semey. Yelimay Semey are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 49%. This matchday 30 fixture in Premier League is listed as Yelimay Semey - Okzhetpes. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Yelimay Semey: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored nine and conceded seven, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 58.8 out of 100, and they sit 6th on a goal difference of +2.
Okzhetpes: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win and two defeats before that. That is three wins, no draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. Across those five they scored eight and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 57.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +8.
Side by side
| Statistic | Yelimay Semey | Okzhetpes |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th | 4th |
| Goal difference | +2 | +8 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWWLW | WWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 7 | 8 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 58.8 | 57.0 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 49% | 26% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Yelimay Semey 58.8 versus Okzhetpes 57.0, a gap of 1.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Yelimay Semey's way at 59%.
The call
The model tilts to Yelimay Semey at 49%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts Yelimay Semey's way, especially at Stadion Spartak.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Yelimay Semey or Okzhetpes?
Yelimay Semey, with an implied win probability of roughly 49%. The full split is 49% Yelimay Semey, 25% the draw and 26% Okzhetpes.
When and where is Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes being played?
31 October 2026 at Stadion Spartak, Semey, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Yelimay Semey and Okzhetpes?
Yelimay Semey have taken 10 points from their last five (DWWLW), Okzhetpes 9 from theirs (WWLWL). Most recently Yelimay Semey took a 2-2 draw away at Altay and Okzhetpes a 3-0 win at home to Kaspiy.
How many goals are expected in Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 2.00 for Yelimay Semey and 2.00 for Okzhetpes. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.