Zhetysu vs FC Astana: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Zhetysu the pick at 42% for Zhetysu vs FC Astana. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Zhetysu host FC Astana on 31 October 2026. Zhetysu are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 42%. This matchday 30 fixture in Premier League is listed as Zhetysu - FC Astana. Kick-off is 10:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Zhetysu: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win and three defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 33.8 out of 100, and they sit 15th on a goal difference of -18.
FC Astana: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 55.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +17.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Zhetysu | FC Astana |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -18 | +17 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DWLLL | DDWLW |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 33.8 | 55.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 42% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Zhetysu 33.8 versus FC Astana 55.9, a gap of 22.1, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Table gap: Twelve places separate them, the kind of margin that usually shows in the first twenty minutes.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 56%.
- First goal: Leans Zhetysu's way at 54%.
The call
The model edges towards Zhetysu at 42%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. FC Astana's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Zhetysu or FC Astana?
Zhetysu, with an implied win probability of roughly 42%. The full split is 42% Zhetysu, 29% the draw and 30% FC Astana.
When and where is Zhetysu vs FC Astana being played?
31 October 2026, kick-off 10:00 UTC.
Have Zhetysu and FC Astana met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Zhetysu and FC Astana?
Zhetysu have taken 4 points from their last five (DWLLL), FC Astana 8 from theirs (DDWLW). Most recently Zhetysu took a 1-1 draw at home to FK Tobol Kostanay and FC Astana a 0-0 draw at home to Kaisar.
How many goals are expected in Zhetysu vs FC Astana?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 1.50 for Zhetysu and 1.00 for FC Astana. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 56%, so its call is yes.