Türkiye vs Belgium: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Belgium the pick at 45% for Türkiye vs Belgium. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Türkiye host Belgium on 12 November 2026. Belgium are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 45%. This league a 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Türkiye - Belgium. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Türkiye: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.8 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -9.
Belgium: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored seven and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 45.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Türkiye | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 3rd |
| Goal difference | -9 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLW | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 13 | 7 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.8 | 45.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 32% | 45% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Türkiye 22.8 versus Belgium 45.2, a gap of 22.5, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.60, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans Belgium's way at 51%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Belgium at 45%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Belgium's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Türkiye or Belgium?
Belgium, with an implied win probability of roughly 45%. The full split is 32% Türkiye, 24% the draw and 45% Belgium.
When and where is Türkiye vs Belgium being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Türkiye and Belgium met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Türkiye and Belgium?
Türkiye have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLLW), Belgium 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Türkiye took a 1-3 defeat away at Italy and Belgium a 1-4 defeat away at France.
How many goals are expected in Türkiye vs Belgium?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.60 — 1.20 for Türkiye and 2.40 for Belgium. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.