Armenia vs Cyprus — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Armenia and Cyprus on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Armenia face Cyprus on 12 November 2026. Cyprus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This league c 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Armenia - Cyprus. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Armenia: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -1.
Cyprus: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Armenia | Cyprus |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLWD | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 6 | 7 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.1 | 48.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 39% | 44% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Armenia 38.1 versus Cyprus 48.8, a gap of 10.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.67, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Cyprus' way at 50%.
The call
The model does not commit. Cyprus is the nominal pick at 44%, but the three results sit close to even. Cyprus' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Armenia or Cyprus?
Cyprus, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 39% Armenia, 18% the draw and 44% Cyprus.
When and where is Armenia vs Cyprus being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Armenia and Cyprus met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Armenia and Cyprus?
Armenia have taken 5 points from their last five (DLLWD), Cyprus 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Armenia took a 0-0 draw away at Montenegro and Cyprus a 2-1 win at home to Latvia.
How many goals are expected in Armenia vs Cyprus?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.67 — 1.00 for Armenia and 1.67 for Cyprus. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.