Czechia vs Spain match summary and prediction — UEFA Nations League
Our model makes Spain the pick at 62% for Czechia vs Spain. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Spain travel to Czechia on 12 November 2026. Spain are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 62%. This league a 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Czechia - Spain. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Czechia: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored two and conceded 13, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.0 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -8.
Spain: they come in on a five-match winning sequence. That is five wins, no draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 15 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored 13 and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 66.8 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Czechia | Spain |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -8 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WWWWW |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 15 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 13 | 13 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.0 | 66.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 15% | 62% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Czechia 23.0 versus Spain 66.8, a gap of 43.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.87, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 53%.
- First goal: Leans Spain's way at 61%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Spain at 62%, a gap of 40 percentage points to the next outcome. Spain's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Czechia or Spain?
Spain, with an implied win probability of roughly 62%. The full split is 15% Czechia, 23% the draw and 62% Spain.
When and where is Czechia vs Spain being played?
12 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Czechia and Spain met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Czechia and Spain?
Czechia have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Spain 15 from theirs (WWWWW). Most recently Czechia took a 0-3 defeat away at England and Spain a 2-1 win away at Croatia.
How many goals are expected in Czechia vs Spain?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.87 — 0.67 for Czechia and 2.20 for Spain. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 53%, so its call is yes.