Netherlands vs Greece: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Netherlands the pick at 60% for Netherlands vs Greece. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Netherlands host Greece on 13 November 2026. Netherlands are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This league a 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Netherlands - Greece. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Netherlands: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eight and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +2.
Greece: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.2 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | Netherlands | Greece |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDD | DDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 9 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 8 / 6 | 5 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.2 | 52.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 18% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.07, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Netherlands' way at 62%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Netherlands at 60%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Netherlands or Greece?
Netherlands, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Netherlands, 22% the draw and 18% Greece.
When and where is Netherlands vs Greece being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Netherlands and Greece met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Netherlands and Greece?
Netherlands have taken 9 points from their last five (WDWDD), Greece 8 from theirs (DDWWL). Most recently Netherlands took a 2-1 win at home to Serbia and Greece a 0-0 draw at home to Germany.
How many goals are expected in Netherlands vs Greece?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.07 — 2.40 for Netherlands and 0.67 for Greece. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.