Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan match summary and prediction — UEFA Nations League
Our model makes Azerbaijan the pick at 38% for Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Liechtenstein face Azerbaijan on 13 November 2026. Azerbaijan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This league d 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Liechtenstein - Azerbaijan. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Liechtenstein: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored no and conceded eight, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -2.
Azerbaijan: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored five and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.9 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Liechtenstein | Azerbaijan |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 1st |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LDLLL | WDDWW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 8 | 5 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.8 | 41.9 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 31% | 38% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Liechtenstein 27.8 versus Azerbaijan 41.9, a gap of 14.1, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Azerbaijan's way at 43%.
The call
The model edges towards Azerbaijan at 38%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Azerbaijan's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Liechtenstein or Azerbaijan?
Azerbaijan, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 31% Liechtenstein, 31% the draw and 38% Azerbaijan.
When and where is Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Liechtenstein and Azerbaijan?
Liechtenstein have taken 1 points from their last five (LDLLL), Azerbaijan 11 from theirs (WDDWW). Most recently Liechtenstein took a 0-2 defeat at home to Gibraltar and Azerbaijan a 1-0 win at home to Lithuania.
How many goals are expected in Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 0.00 for Liechtenstein and 1.35 for Azerbaijan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 38%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.