Kosovo vs Israel: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between Kosovo and Israel on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Kosovo host Israel on 14 November 2026. Israel are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This league b 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Kosovo - Israel. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kosovo: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of -1.
Israel: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -5.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Kosovo | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLWW | DDLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 4 | 3 / 7 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 41.4 | 30.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 40% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Kosovo 41.4 versus Israel 30.4, a gap of 11.0, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.50, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans Kosovo's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. Israel is the nominal pick at 40%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kosovo or Israel?
Israel, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 35% Kosovo, 25% the draw and 40% Israel.
When and where is Kosovo vs Israel being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Kosovo and Israel met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kosovo and Israel?
Kosovo have taken 8 points from their last five (DDLWW), Israel 5 from theirs (DDLLW). Most recently Kosovo took a 1-1 draw at home to Austria and Israel a 1-1 draw away at Rep. Of Ireland.
How many goals are expected in Kosovo vs Israel?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.50 — 2.00 for Kosovo and 1.50 for Israel. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.