Georgia vs Hungary match summary and prediction — UEFA Nations League
Our model makes Hungary the pick at 48% for Georgia vs Hungary. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Georgia host Hungary on 14 November 2026. Hungary are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 48%. This league b 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Georgia - Hungary. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Georgia: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored two and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Hungary: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored six and conceded three, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.6 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Georgia | Hungary |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLDLW | WWDLW |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 2 | 6 / 3 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.2 | 48.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 28% | 48% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Georgia 31.2 versus Hungary 48.6, a gap of 17.4, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.50, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 51%.
- First goal: Leans Hungary's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Hungary at 48%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Hungary's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Georgia or Hungary?
Hungary, with an implied win probability of roughly 48%. The full split is 28% Georgia, 24% the draw and 48% Hungary.
When and where is Georgia vs Hungary being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Georgia and Hungary met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Georgia and Hungary?
Georgia have taken 5 points from their last five (DLDLW), Hungary 10 from theirs (WWDLW). Most recently Georgia took a 0-0 draw away at Northern Ireland and Hungary a 2-1 win away at Ukraine.
How many goals are expected in Georgia vs Hungary?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.50 — 2.00 for Georgia and 1.50 for Hungary. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 51%, so its call is yes.