Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Rep. Of Ireland the pick at 40% for Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Austria host Rep. Of Ireland on 14 November 2026. Rep. Of Ireland are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This league b 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Austria - Rep. Of Ireland. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Austria: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +4.
Rep. Of Ireland: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +2.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Austria | Rep. Of Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 1st | 3rd |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWWL | DDWLD |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 9 / 8 | 7 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.7 | 42.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 30% | 40% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Austria 52.7 versus Rep. Of Ireland 42.2, a gap of 10.5, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.20, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Rep. Of Ireland's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Rep. Of Ireland at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Austria or Rep. Of Ireland?
Rep. Of Ireland, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 30% Austria, 30% the draw and 40% Rep. Of Ireland.
When and where is Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland being played?
14 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Austria and Rep. Of Ireland met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Austria and Rep. Of Ireland?
Austria have taken 8 points from their last five (DDWWL), Rep. Of Ireland 6 from theirs (DDWLD). Most recently Austria took a 1-1 draw away at Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland a 1-1 draw at home to Israel.
How many goals are expected in Austria vs Rep. Of Ireland?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.20 — 1.40 for Austria and 1.80 for Rep. Of Ireland. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.