Cyprus vs Montenegro — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Cyprus the pick at 55% for Cyprus vs Montenegro. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Cyprus face Montenegro on 15 November 2026. Cyprus are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 55%. This league c 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Cyprus - Montenegro. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cyprus: they come in on a two-match winning sequence, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is three wins, one draw and one defeat from the last five, worth 10 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded three, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Montenegro: they come in on the back of a draw, following three wins and one draw before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored nine and conceded six, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 59.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cyprus | Montenegro |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WWDLW | DWWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 10 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 3 | 9 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 3 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 59.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 55% | 23% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Cyprus 48.8 versus Montenegro 59.1, a gap of 10.2, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.67, over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Cyprus' way at 61%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Cyprus at 55%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cyprus or Montenegro?
Cyprus, with an implied win probability of roughly 55%. The full split is 55% Cyprus, 22% the draw and 23% Montenegro.
When and where is Cyprus vs Montenegro being played?
15 November 2026, kick-off 14:00 UTC.
Have Cyprus and Montenegro met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cyprus and Montenegro?
Cyprus have taken 10 points from their last five (WWDLW), Montenegro 11 from theirs (DWWWD). Most recently Cyprus took a 2-1 win at home to Latvia and Montenegro a 0-0 draw at home to Armenia.
How many goals are expected in Cyprus vs Montenegro?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.67 — 1.67 for Cyprus and 2.00 for Montenegro. It rates over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.