Kazakhstan vs Slovakia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Slovakia the pick at 56% for Kazakhstan vs Slovakia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Kazakhstan host Slovakia on 16 November 2026. Slovakia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This league c 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Kazakhstan - Slovakia. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Kazakhstan: they come in on the back of a draw, following one draw and three defeats before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -2.
Slovakia: they come in on the back of a win, following two wins and two draws before that. That is three wins, two draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 11 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored eleven and conceded four, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 60.1 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +7.
Side by side
| Statistic | Kazakhstan | Slovakia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLDL | WDWWD |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 11 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 11 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 31.2 | 60.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 21% | 56% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Kazakhstan 31.2 versus Slovakia 60.1, a gap of 28.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.00, over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.
- First goal: Leans Slovakia's way at 59%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Slovakia at 56%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. Slovakia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Kazakhstan or Slovakia?
Slovakia, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 21% Kazakhstan, 23% the draw and 56% Slovakia.
When and where is Kazakhstan vs Slovakia being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Kazakhstan and Slovakia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Kazakhstan and Slovakia?
Kazakhstan have taken 2 points from their last five (DLLDL), Slovakia 11 from theirs (WDWWD). Most recently Kazakhstan took a 2-2 draw at home to Faroe Islands and Slovakia a 4-0 win away at Moldova.
How many goals are expected in Kazakhstan vs Slovakia?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.00 — 1.00 for Kazakhstan and 3.00 for Slovakia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 58%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 60%, so its call is yes.