Faroe Islands vs Moldova — form, head-to-head and match prediction
Our model makes Faroe Islands the pick at 44% for Faroe Islands vs Moldova. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Moldova travel to Faroe Islands on 16 November 2026. Faroe Islands are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 44%. This league c 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Faroe Islands - Moldova. Kick-off is 15:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Faroe Islands: they come in on four successive draws, following one win before that. That is one win, four draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.3 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of 0.
Moldova: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded nine, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.1 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -5.
Side by side
| Statistic | Faroe Islands | Moldova |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 3rd |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDDDW | LWDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 4 / 9 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.3 | 37.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 44% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Faroe Islands 38.3 versus Moldova 37.1, a gap of 1.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.85, over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Faroe Islands' way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Faroe Islands at 44%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Moldova's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Faroe Islands or Moldova?
Faroe Islands, with an implied win probability of roughly 44%. The full split is 44% Faroe Islands, 24% the draw and 32% Moldova.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Moldova being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 15:00 UTC.
Have Faroe Islands and Moldova met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Faroe Islands and Moldova?
Faroe Islands have taken 7 points from their last five (DDDDW), Moldova 5 from theirs (LWDLD). Most recently Faroe Islands took a 2-2 draw away at Kazakhstan and Moldova a 0-4 defeat at home to Slovakia.
How many goals are expected in Faroe Islands vs Moldova?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.85 — 1.35 for Faroe Islands and 1.50 for Moldova. It rates over 2.5 goals at 48%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.