Israel vs Austria: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Israel the pick at 47% for Israel vs Austria. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Austria travel to Israel on 17 November 2026. Israel are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 47%. This league b 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Israel - Austria. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Israel: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored three and conceded seven, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 30.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -5.
Austria: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored nine and conceded eight, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.7 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +4.
Side by side
| Statistic | Israel | Austria |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDLLW | DDWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 7 | 9 / 8 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 30.4 | 52.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 47% | 27% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Israel 30.4 versus Austria 52.7, a gap of 22.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.90, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Israel's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Israel at 47%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Austria's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Israel or Austria?
Israel, with an implied win probability of roughly 47%. The full split is 47% Israel, 26% the draw and 27% Austria.
When and where is Israel vs Austria being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Israel and Austria met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Israel and Austria?
Israel have taken 5 points from their last five (DDLLW), Austria 8 from theirs (DDWWL). Most recently Israel took a 1-1 draw away at Rep. Of Ireland and Austria a 1-1 draw away at Kosovo.
How many goals are expected in Israel vs Austria?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.90 — 1.50 for Israel and 1.40 for Austria. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.