Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Rep. Of Ireland the pick at 56% for Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Rep. Of Ireland face Kosovo on 17 November 2026. Rep. Of Ireland are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 56%. This league b 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Rep. Of Ireland - Kosovo. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Rep. Of Ireland: they come in on two successive draws, following one win, one draw and one defeat before that. That is one win, three draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 6 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Across those five they scored seven and conceded five, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +2.
Kosovo: they come in on two successive draws, following two wins and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored six and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 41.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Rep. Of Ireland | Kosovo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLD | DDLWW |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 5 | 6 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 42.2 | 41.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 56% | 19% |
What stands out
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.80, over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 48%.
- First goal: Leans Rep. Of Ireland's way at 59%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Rep. Of Ireland at 56%, a gap of 30 percentage points to the next outcome. Rep. Of Ireland's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Rep. Of Ireland or Kosovo?
Rep. Of Ireland, with an implied win probability of roughly 56%. The full split is 56% Rep. Of Ireland, 26% the draw and 19% Kosovo.
When and where is Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Rep. Of Ireland and Kosovo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Rep. Of Ireland and Kosovo?
Rep. Of Ireland have taken 6 points from their last five (DDWLD), Kosovo 8 from theirs (DDLWW). Most recently Rep. Of Ireland took a 1-1 draw at home to Israel and Kosovo a 1-1 draw at home to Austria.
How many goals are expected in Rep. Of Ireland vs Kosovo?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.80 — 1.80 for Rep. Of Ireland and 2.00 for Kosovo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 53%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 48%, so its call is no.