Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania match summary and prediction — UEFA Nations League
Our model makes Bosnia & Herzegovina the pick at 60% for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Bosnia & Herzegovina host Romania on 17 November 2026. Bosnia & Herzegovina are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 60%. This league b 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Bosnia & Herzegovina - Romania. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Bosnia & Herzegovina: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is two wins, two draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 52.4 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +3.
Romania: they come in on four defeats in a row, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -10.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Romania |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +3 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWDL | LLLLW |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 5 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 52.4 | 22.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 60% | 20% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Bosnia & Herzegovina 52.4 versus Romania 22.5, a gap of 29.9, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.00, over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 45%.
- First goal: Leans Bosnia & Herzegovina's way at 62%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Bosnia & Herzegovina at 60%, a gap of 39 percentage points to the next outcome. Bosnia & Herzegovina's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Bosnia & Herzegovina or Romania?
Bosnia & Herzegovina, with an implied win probability of roughly 60%. The full split is 60% Bosnia & Herzegovina, 21% the draw and 20% Romania.
When and where is Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Bosnia & Herzegovina and Romania met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Bosnia & Herzegovina and Romania?
Bosnia & Herzegovina have taken 8 points from their last five (WDWDL), Romania 3 from theirs (LLLLW). Most recently Bosnia & Herzegovina took a 1-0 win at home to Poland and Romania a 0-1 defeat at home to Sweden.
How many goals are expected in Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Romania?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.00 — 1.00 for Bosnia & Herzegovina and 1.00 for Romania. It rates over 2.5 goals at 50%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 45%, so its call is no.