Andorra vs Gibraltar match summary and prediction — UEFA Nations League
Our model makes Andorra the pick at 53% for Andorra vs Gibraltar. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Gibraltar travel to Andorra on 13 November 2026. Andorra are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 53%. This league d 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Andorra - Gibraltar. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Andorra: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one draw and two defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and four defeats from the last five, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored one and conceded nine, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 27.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -2.
Gibraltar: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and three draws before that. That is two wins, three draws and no defeats from the last five, worth 9 points. It leaves them unbeaten in five. Across those five they scored seven and conceded two, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 31.7 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of 0.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Andorra | Gibraltar |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLDLL | WDDDW |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 1 / 9 | 7 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 27.8 | 31.7 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 53% | 13% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Andorra 27.8 versus Gibraltar 31.7, a gap of 3.8, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.67, over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams to score at 37%.
- First goal: Leans Andorra's way at 54%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Andorra at 53%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. Gibraltar's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Andorra or Gibraltar?
Andorra, with an implied win probability of roughly 53%. The full split is 53% Andorra, 34% the draw and 13% Gibraltar.
When and where is Andorra vs Gibraltar being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Andorra and Gibraltar met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Andorra and Gibraltar?
Andorra have taken 1 points from their last five (LLDLL), Gibraltar 9 from theirs (WDDDW). Most recently Andorra took a 0-1 defeat away at Malta and Gibraltar a 2-0 win away at Liechtenstein.
How many goals are expected in Andorra vs Gibraltar?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.67 — 0.67 for Andorra and 0.00 for Gibraltar. It rates over 2.5 goals at 33%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 37%, so its call is no.