Slovenia vs Switzerland: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Switzerland the pick at 52% for Slovenia vs Switzerland. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
Match summary
Slovenia host Switzerland on 13 November 2026. Switzerland are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 52%. This league b 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Slovenia - Switzerland. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Slovenia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Switzerland: they come in on a four-match winning sequence, following one defeat before that. That is four wins, no draws and one defeat from the last five, worth 12 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those five they scored twelve and conceded four, with three clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 67.5 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Slovenia | Switzerland |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 1st |
| Goal difference | +2 | +10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WLWDL | WWWWL |
| Points from last 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 5 | 12 / 4 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 3 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 48.8 | 67.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 23% | 52% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Slovenia 48.8 versus Switzerland 67.5, a gap of 18.7, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.50, over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
- First goal: Leans Switzerland's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model tilts to Switzerland at 52%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Slovenia or Switzerland?
Switzerland, with an implied win probability of roughly 52%. The full split is 23% Slovenia, 25% the draw and 52% Switzerland.
When and where is Slovenia vs Switzerland being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Slovenia and Switzerland met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Slovenia and Switzerland?
Slovenia have taken 7 points from their last five (WLWDL), Switzerland 12 from theirs (WWWWL). Most recently Slovenia took a 2-1 win away at Scotland and Switzerland a 3-0 win at home to FYR Macedonia.
How many goals are expected in Slovenia vs Switzerland?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.50 — 0.50 for Slovenia and 2.00 for Switzerland. It rates over 2.5 goals at 52%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 57%, so its call is yes.