Scotland vs FYR Macedonia: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Scotland the pick at 59% for Scotland vs FYR Macedonia. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Scotland host FYR Macedonia on 13 November 2026. Scotland are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 59%. This league b 5 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as Scotland - FYR Macedonia. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Scotland: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. Across those five they scored three and conceded eight, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 37.8 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -2.
FYR Macedonia: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored no and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -10.
Side by side
| Statistic | Scotland | FYR Macedonia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 4th |
| Goal difference | -2 | -10 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLDL | LLLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 3 / 8 | 0 / 14 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 37.8 | 22.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 59% | 17% |
What stands out
- Pre-match form ratings: Scotland 37.8 versus FYR Macedonia 22.5, a gap of 15.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.80, over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams to score at 41%.
- First goal: Leans Scotland's way at 57%.
The call
The model leans firmly towards Scotland at 59%, a gap of 35 percentage points to the next outcome. The goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Scotland or FYR Macedonia?
Scotland, with an implied win probability of roughly 59%. The full split is 59% Scotland, 24% the draw and 17% FYR Macedonia.
When and where is Scotland vs FYR Macedonia being played?
13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have Scotland and FYR Macedonia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Scotland and FYR Macedonia?
Scotland have taken 4 points from their last five (LWLDL), FYR Macedonia 0 from theirs (LLLLL). Most recently Scotland took a 1-2 defeat at home to Slovenia and FYR Macedonia a 0-3 defeat away at Switzerland.
How many goals are expected in Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.80 — 1.80 for Scotland and 0.00 for FYR Macedonia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 46%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 41%, so its call is no.