FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between FYR Macedonia and Slovenia on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Slovenia travel to FYR Macedonia on 16 November 2026. FYR Macedonia are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This league b 6 fixture in UEFA Nations League is listed as FYR Macedonia - Slovenia. Kick-off is 19:45 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
FYR Macedonia: they come in on five defeats in a row. That is no wins, no draws and five defeats from the last five, worth 0 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored no and conceded 14, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 22.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -10.
Slovenia: they come in on the back of a win, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is two wins, one draw and two defeats from the last five, worth 7 points. Across those five they scored six and conceded five, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 48.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | FYR Macedonia | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -10 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLLL | WLWDL |
| Points from last 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 0 / 14 | 6 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 22.5 | 48.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 28% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: FYR Macedonia 22.5 versus Slovenia 48.8, a gap of 26.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.50, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 49%.
- First goal: Leans FYR Macedonia's way at 47%.
The call
The model does not commit. FYR Macedonia is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Slovenia's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: FYR Macedonia or Slovenia?
FYR Macedonia, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% FYR Macedonia, 34% the draw and 28% Slovenia.
When and where is FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC.
Have FYR Macedonia and Slovenia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of FYR Macedonia and Slovenia?
FYR Macedonia have taken 0 points from their last five (LLLLL), Slovenia 7 from theirs (WLWDL). Most recently FYR Macedonia took a 0-3 defeat away at Switzerland and Slovenia a 2-1 win away at Scotland.
How many goals are expected in FYR Macedonia vs Slovenia?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.50 — 0.00 for FYR Macedonia and 0.50 for Slovenia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 49%, so its call is no.