Angola vs South Sudan: match summary, form and prediction
Our model makes Angola the pick at 57% for Angola vs South Sudan. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
South Sudan travel to Angola on 11 November 2026. Angola are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 57%. This group stage 3 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as Angola - South Sudan. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Angola: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored seven and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
South Sudan: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -6.
Side by side
| Statistic | Angola | South Sudan |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | WDWD | LLLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 7 / 2 | 5 / 10 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 38.8 | 23.5 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 57% | 20% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Angola 38.8 versus South Sudan 23.5, a gap of 15.3, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.02, over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 54%.
- First goal: Leans Angola's way at 58%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model leans firmly towards Angola at 57%, a gap of 34 percentage points to the next outcome. Angola's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Angola or South Sudan?
Angola, with an implied win probability of roughly 57%. The full split is 57% Angola, 23% the draw and 20% South Sudan.
When and where is Angola vs South Sudan being played?
11 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Angola and South Sudan met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Angola and South Sudan?
Angola have taken 8 points from their last four (WDWD), South Sudan 3 from theirs (LLLWL). Most recently Angola took a 3-1 win at home to Malawi and South Sudan a 0-5 defeat at home to Egypt.
How many goals are expected in Angola vs South Sudan?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.02 — 1.67 for Angola and 1.35 for South Sudan. It rates over 2.5 goals at 56%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 54%, so its call is yes.