Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia — form, head-to-head and match prediction
There is barely anything between Cape Verde Islands and Liberia on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
Cape Verde Islands face Liberia on 11 November 2026. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 35%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This group stage 3 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as Cape Verde Islands - Liberia. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Cape Verde Islands: they come in on three defeats in a row, following two draws before that. That is no wins, two draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 2 points. It leaves them winless in five. Across those five they scored six and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of -3.
Liberia: they come in on back-to-back defeats, following one win before that. That is one win, no draws and two defeats from the last three, worth 3 points. Across those three they scored four and conceded five, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -3.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Cape Verde Islands | Liberia |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 3rd | 4th |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDD | LLW |
| Points from last 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 6 / 10 | 4 / 5 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.2 | 24.2 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 2.35, over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams to score at 58%.
- First goal: Leans Cape Verde Islands' way at 48%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. The goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Cape Verde Islands or Liberia?
Neither side. Our model splits it 35% Cape Verde Islands, 35% the draw and 30% Liberia, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia being played?
11 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Cape Verde Islands and Liberia met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Cape Verde Islands and Liberia?
Cape Verde Islands have taken 2 points from their last five (LLLDD), Liberia 3 from theirs (LLW). Most recently Cape Verde Islands took a 1-2 defeat at home to Rwanda and Liberia a 0-1 defeat at home to Mali.
How many goals are expected in Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?
The model's combined scoring line is 2.35 — 1.00 for Cape Verde Islands and 1.35 for Liberia. It rates over 2.5 goals at 51%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 58%, so its call is yes.