Comoros vs Congo match summary and prediction — Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
There is barely anything between Comoros and Congo on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
Comoros host Congo on 11 November 2026. No side is favoured: the draw carries our highest model probability at 35%, which is unusual and says more about the matchup than either team. This group stage 3 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as Comoros - Congo. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Comoros: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of -1.
Congo: they come in on the back of a draw, following three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored two and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -1.
Side by side
| Statistic | Comoros | Congo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 2nd | 4th |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LWLWL | DLLL |
| Points from last 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 4 / 6 | 2 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 34.8 | 28.1 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 35% | 30% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Comoros 34.8 versus Congo 28.1, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
- First goal: Leans Comoros' way at 44%.
The call
The model does not commit. A draw is the nominal pick at 35%, but the three results sit close to even. Comoros' form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Comoros or Congo?
Neither side. Our model splits it 35% Comoros, 35% the draw and 30% Congo, with the draw carrying the highest probability.
When and where is Comoros vs Congo being played?
11 November 2026, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
Have Comoros and Congo met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Comoros and Congo?
Comoros have taken 6 points from their last five (LWLWL), Congo 1 from theirs (DLLL). Most recently Comoros took a 0-1 defeat at home to Senegal and Congo a 1-1 draw at home to Cameroon.
How many goals are expected in Comoros vs Congo?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 0.00 for Comoros and 1.35 for Congo. It rates over 2.5 goals at 47%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 52%, so its call is yes.