Central African Republic vs Benin: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Central African Republic the pick at 40% for Central African Republic vs Benin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Benin travel to Central African Republic on 16 November 2026. Central African Republic are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 40%. This group stage 4 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as Central African Republic - Benin. Kick-off is 16:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
Central African Republic: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one draw before that. That is one win, one draw and three defeats from the last five, worth 4 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 24.2 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -3.
Benin: they come in on the back of a defeat, following one win, two draws and one defeat before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. Across those five they scored five and conceded eleven, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.6 out of 100, and they sit 1st on a goal difference of +1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Central African Republic | Benin |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 1st |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLDW | LWDLD |
| Points from last 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 5 / 11 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 0 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 24.2 | 38.6 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 40% | 32% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Central African Republic 24.2 versus Benin 38.6, a gap of 14.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 0.33, over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 50%.
- First goal: Leans Central African Republic's way at 46%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model edges towards Central African Republic at 40%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Benin's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Central African Republic or Benin?
Central African Republic, with an implied win probability of roughly 40%. The full split is 40% Central African Republic, 29% the draw and 32% Benin.
When and where is Central African Republic vs Benin being played?
16 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 UTC.
Have Central African Republic and Benin met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Central African Republic and Benin?
Central African Republic have taken 4 points from their last five (LLLDW), Benin 5 from theirs (LWDLD). Most recently Central African Republic took a 0-1 defeat at home to Burkina Faso and Benin a 0-3 defeat away at Argentina.
How many goals are expected in Central African Republic vs Benin?
The model's combined scoring line is 0.33 — 0.00 for Central African Republic and 0.33 for Benin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 49%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 50%, so its call is no.