Congo vs Comoros: the numbers, the form and our prediction
Our model makes Congo the pick at 43% for Congo vs Comoros. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.
The fixture at a glance
Congo host Comoros on 17 November 2026. Congo are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 43%. This group stage 4 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as Congo - Comoros. Kick-off is 19:00 UTC.
Recent form and trajectory
Congo: they come in on the back of a draw, following three defeats before that. That is no wins, one draw and three defeats from the last four, worth 1 points. It leaves them winless in four. Across those four they scored two and conceded six, with none clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 28.1 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -1.
Comoros: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Across those five they scored four and conceded six, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 34.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of -1.
Comparison data
| Statistic | Congo | Comoros |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DLLL | LWLWL |
| Points from last 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 2 / 6 | 4 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 0 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 28.1 | 34.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 43% | 29% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: Congo 28.1 versus Comoros 34.8, a gap of 6.7, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 1.35, over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams to score at 46%.
- First goal: Leans Congo's way at 50%.
The call
The model edges towards Congo at 43%, and 'edges' is doing real work in that sentence. Comoros' stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to under 2.5 goals.
Everything here is model output and a reading of the form rather than a guarantee — the probabilities are published in full so the reasoning behind the call is visible.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: Congo or Comoros?
Congo, with an implied win probability of roughly 43%. The full split is 43% Congo, 28% the draw and 29% Comoros.
When and where is Congo vs Comoros being played?
17 November 2026, kick-off 19:00 UTC.
Have Congo and Comoros met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of Congo and Comoros?
Congo have taken 1 points from their last four (DLLL), Comoros 6 from theirs (LWLWL). Most recently Congo took a 1-1 draw at home to Cameroon and Comoros a 0-1 defeat at home to Senegal.
How many goals are expected in Congo vs Comoros?
The model's combined scoring line is 1.35 — 1.35 for Congo and 0.00 for Comoros. It rates over 2.5 goals at 45%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 46%, so its call is no.