South Sudan vs Angola: match summary, form and prediction
There is barely anything between South Sudan and Angola on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
Match summary
South Sudan host Angola on 17 November 2026 at Juba Stadium, Juba. South Sudan are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 38%. This group stage 4 fixture in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification is listed as South Sudan - Angola. Kick-off is 13:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
South Sudan: they come in on three defeats in a row, following one win and one defeat before that. That is one win, no draws and four defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Across those five they scored five and conceded ten, with one clean sheet. That is reflected in a form rating of 23.5 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of -6.
Angola: they come in on the back of a win, following one win and two draws before that. That is two wins, two draws and no defeats from the last four, worth 8 points. It leaves them unbeaten in four. Across those four they scored seven and conceded two, with two clean sheets. That is reflected in a form rating of 38.8 out of 100, and they sit 2nd on a goal difference of +2.
Side by side
| Statistic | South Sudan | Angola |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 4th | 2nd |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | LLLWL | WDWD |
| Points from last 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 10 | 7 / 2 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 1 | 2 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 23.5 | 38.8 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 38% | 37% |
Key match insights
- Pre-match form ratings: South Sudan 23.5 versus Angola 38.8, a gap of 15.3, which cuts against the model's favourite and is the tension in this one.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.02, over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams to score at 55%.
- First goal: Leans South Sudan's way at 52%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. South Sudan is the nominal pick at 38%, but the three results sit close to even. Angola's stronger recent metrics back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts South Sudan's way, especially at Juba Stadium.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: South Sudan or Angola?
South Sudan, with an implied win probability of roughly 38%. The full split is 38% South Sudan, 25% the draw and 37% Angola.
When and where is South Sudan vs Angola being played?
17 November 2026 at Juba Stadium, Juba, kick-off 13:00 UTC.
Have South Sudan and Angola met before?
Our records hold no previous meeting between the two sides.
What is the recent form of South Sudan and Angola?
South Sudan have taken 3 points from their last five (LLLWL), Angola 8 from theirs (WDWD). Most recently South Sudan took a 0-5 defeat at home to Egypt and Angola a 3-1 win at home to Malawi.
How many goals are expected in South Sudan vs Angola?
The model's combined scoring line is 3.02 — 1.35 for South Sudan and 1.67 for Angola. It rates over 2.5 goals at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.