NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek match summary and prediction — HNL
There is barely anything between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek on our numbers. Form trajectory, a side-by-side comparison, the head-to-head record and where the model does — and does not — commit.
The fixture at a glance
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb host NK Osijek on 1 November 2026 at Stadion Kranjčevićeva, Zagreb. NK Osijek are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 39%. This matchday 12 fixture in HNL is listed as NK Lokomotiva Zagreb - NK Osijek. Kick-off is 17:00 UTC.
Form analysis and trajectory
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: they come in on two successive draws, following one win and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them unbeaten in three. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (20 scored and 20 conceded in 17 matches, 1.18 and 1.18 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 40.7 out of 100, and they sit 8th on a goal difference of -4.
NK Osijek: they come in on the back of a defeat, following three draws and one defeat before that. That is no wins, three draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 3 points. It leaves them winless in five. Their 2025-season record in our dataset (11 scored and 21 conceded in 17 matches, 0.65 and 1.24 per game) underlines how hard they have found it to score. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.4 out of 100, and they sit 4th on a goal difference of +3.
Side by side
| Statistic | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | NK Osijek |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th | 4th |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| Form (last 5, most recent first) | DDWLL | LDLDD |
| Points from last 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored / conceded (last 5) | 5 / 5 | 3 / 6 |
| Clean sheets (last 5) | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in our dataset (2025 season) | 17 | 17 |
| Goals per game, scored / conceded (2025) | 1.18 / 1.18 | 0.65 / 1.24 |
| Points per game (2025) | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Form rating (0-100) | 40.7 | 42.4 |
| Players unavailable | 0 | 0 |
| Model win probability | 37% | 39% |
| Head-to-head wins (last 2) | 1 | 0 |
Key match insights
- Head-to-head balance (last 2): NK Lokomotiva Zagreb one win, NK Osijek none wins, one draw — a historically tight match-up.
- Most recent meeting: NK Osijek 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on 25 April 2026.
- Head-to-head goals: 2.0 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — a fixture that has historically stayed tight.
- Pre-match form ratings: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 40.7 versus NK Osijek 42.4, a gap of 1.8, which aligns with the model's favourite.
- Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
- Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 4.20, over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 63%.
- First goal: Leans NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's way at 50%.
Sentiment and prediction
The model does not commit. NK Osijek is the nominal pick at 39%, but the three results sit close to even. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals.
This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.
Frequently asked questions
Who is favoured to win the match: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or NK Osijek?
NK Osijek, with an implied win probability of roughly 39%. The full split is 37% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, 24% the draw and 39% NK Osijek.
When and where is NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek being played?
1 November 2026 at Stadion Kranjčevićeva, Zagreb, kick-off 17:00 UTC.
What was the result of the last match between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek?
NK Osijek 0-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb on 25 April 2026.
What is the recent form of NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek?
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have taken 5 points from their last five (DDWLL), NK Osijek 3 from theirs (LDLDD). Most recently NK Lokomotiva Zagreb took a 1-1 draw away at NK Varazdin and NK Osijek a 0-1 defeat at home to Rudes.
How many goals are expected in NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek?
The model's combined scoring line is 4.20 — 1.60 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 2.60 for NK Osijek. It rates over 2.5 goals at 64%.
Will both teams score?
The model rates both teams to score at 63%, so its call is yes.