HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin Prediction

HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin — form, head-to-head and match prediction

Our model makes HNK Rijeka the pick at 54% for HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin. Form trajectory, comparison data, head-to-head and the reasoning behind the call.

Match summary

NK Varazdin travel to HNK Rijeka on 1 November 2026 at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka. HNK Rijeka are the model's favourite, with a win probability of roughly 54%. This matchday 12 fixture in HNL is listed as HNK Rijeka - NK Varazdin. Kick-off is 14:00 UTC.

Form analysis and trajectory

HNK Rijeka: they come in on the back of a defeat, following two wins and two defeats before that. That is two wins, no draws and three defeats from the last five, worth 6 points. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (10 scored and 6 conceded in six matches, 1.67 and 1.0 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 49.1 out of 100, and they sit 5th on a goal difference of +3.

NK Varazdin: they come in on the back of a draw, following one win, one draw and two defeats before that. That is one win, two draws and two defeats from the last five, worth 5 points. It leaves them three games without a win. Their 2026-season record in our dataset (9 scored and 7 conceded in six matches, 1.5 and 1.17 per game) points to a fairly even balance between the two ends of the pitch. That is reflected in a form rating of 42.9 out of 100, and they sit 3rd on a goal difference of +5.

Side by side

Key match insights

• Head-to-head balance (last 2): HNK Rijeka one win, NK Varazdin one win, none draws — a historically tight match-up.
• Most recent meeting: NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Rijeka on 22 April 2026.
• Head-to-head goals: 2.5 per game across those meetings, with both teams scoring in one of the two — broadly an average game for goals.
• Pre-match form ratings: HNK Rijeka 49.1 versus NK Varazdin 42.9, a gap of 6.2, which aligns with the model's favourite.
• Availability: No absentees listed for either side in our injury feed at the time of writing.
• Goals outlook: A combined scoring line of 3.00, over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams to score at 55%.
• First goal: Leans HNK Rijeka's way at 60%.

Sentiment and prediction

The model tilts to HNK Rijeka at 54%, without enough room to treat it as a formality. HNK Rijeka's form line and home advantage back it and the goals line points to over 2.5 goals. Baseline expectation tilts HNK Rijeka's way, especially at Stadion Rujevica.

This is a data-led read, not a certainty. The numbers are shown as they come out of the model so the basis for the call can be checked rather than assumed.

Frequently asked questions

Who is favoured to win the match: HNK Rijeka or NK Varazdin?

HNK Rijeka, with an implied win probability of roughly 54%. The full split is 54% HNK Rijeka, 23% the draw and 23% NK Varazdin.

When and where is HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin being played?

1 November 2026 at Stadion Rujevica, Rijeka, kick-off 14:00 UTC.

What was the result of the last match between HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?

NK Varazdin 1-0 HNK Rijeka on 22 April 2026.

What is the recent form of HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin?

HNK Rijeka have taken 6 points from their last five (LWWLL), NK Varazdin 5 from theirs (DLLWD). Most recently HNK Rijeka took a 1-2 defeat away at Dinamo Zagreb and NK Varazdin a 1-1 draw at home to NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

How many goals are expected in HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin?

The model's combined scoring line is 3.00 — 1.60 for HNK Rijeka and 1.40 for NK Varazdin. It rates over 2.5 goals at 57%.

Will both teams score?

The model rates both teams to score at 55%, so its call is yes.